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Writer's pictureTU Rathish Menon

Credit Suisse: The Next Lehman Brothers? Expert Predicts the Next Bank to Fail

Updated: Oct 12, 2023


As the world's economy continues to reel from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, the stability of the banking industry is once again being called into question. Recently, a prominent financial expert has predicted that Credit Suisse may be the next major bank to fail, drawing comparisons to the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008.

The financial world is no stranger to crises, and predictions of the next bank to fail are often made. Robert Kiyosaki, the co-author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," has made a prediction about the next bank to fail - Credit Suisse. This is a prediction that has caused a lot of buzz in the financial world, and many are wondering if it will come true.


Kiyosaki is no stranger to making predictions about the financial world. He correctly predicted the 2008 Lehman Brothers collapse, which was a significant event that rocked the global financial system. Kiyosaki's latest prediction is that Credit Suisse will be the next bank to fail.


So, why does Kiyosaki think Credit Suisse is in trouble?


There are several reasons, including problems in the bond market and the forthcoming retirement of baby boomers. Credit Suisse has also been facing regulatory problems and scandals, which have led to outflows of over $120 billion in Q4 2022.


The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank is also a warning sign for the financial industry. Inadequacies in economic policy and financial regulation were blamed for its collapse. This has led to concerns that other banks could follow suit, leading to a domino effect in the financial industry.


Kiyosaki has urged investors to protect themselves by buying gold and silver. He believes that the market is volatile and that hyperinflation is a possibility. While this may seem extreme, it is not unusual for investors to look for safe havens during uncertain times.


Credit Suisse has been struggling for some time now, with a series of scandals and controversies eroding investor confidence. The bank was hit hard by the collapse of Greensill Capital, a financial firm that it had heavily invested in. In addition, Credit Suisse has faced legal issues related to money laundering and tax evasion, further damaging its reputation.


Credit Suisse has not yet commented on Kiyosaki's prediction. However, investors and industry experts are keeping a close eye on the bank's performance. If Kiyosaki's prediction comes true, it could have far-reaching consequences for the global financial system, similar to the impact of Lehman Brothers' failure in 2008.


The bank is a major player in the global financial system, with significant exposure to risky assets such as derivatives and structured products. If Credit Suisse were to fail, it could trigger a domino effect that could destabilize the entire banking industry.


However, it's important to note that not everyone shares this dire prediction. Some analysts argue that while Credit Suisse is certainly facing challenges, it is not necessarily on the brink of collapse. The bank has taken steps to address its issues, such as replacing top executives and implementing new risk management measures.


In conclusion, the prediction that Credit Suisse will be the next bank to fail is causing a lot of concern in the financial industry. While it remains to be seen if this prediction will come true, investors and industry experts are taking it seriously. It is essential to keep an eye on the situation and take steps to protect oneself in case of a crisis.


FAQs

What does Credit Suisse do?

Credit Suisse is a global financial services company that provides a range of banking, investment, and wealth management services to individuals, corporations, and institutions.


The bank is organized into four divisions and four geographic regions, with corporate functions supporting each. These divisions include wealth management, investment banking, capital markets, and global markets.


Credit Suisse offers customized solutions to its clients, leveraging its expertise across the organization. In addition, the bank has recently undergone a major overhaul of its business, including spinning off some of its businesses into a boutique unit and integrating the remaining trading businesses more closely with the wealth management business.


The bank also provides advisory services in mergers and acquisitions and financial restructuring. Additionally, Credit Suisse gathers and processes customer data to provide customized solutions that leverage its expertise and create a cohesive sustainability offering.


How much is Credit Suisse worth?

According to the Web Search Results, Credit Suisse's market cap as of March 2023 is $9.67 billion. This is significantly lower than its market cap in 2007, which was $61.26 billion.


Why Credit Suisse collapse?


Credit Suisse, a troubled banking giant, has announced its plan to borrow up to 50bn francs ($54bn; £44.5bn) from the Swiss central bank to reinforce its finances and address weaknesses found in its financial reporting. This move is aimed at simplifying the bank and improving its liquidity.


However, Credit Suisse's shares fell by 24% after the announcement, triggering a general sell-off across European markets and raising concerns about a wider financial crisis.


Credit Suisse's CEO, Ulrich Koerner, expressed his commitment to rapidly deliver a more focused and client-centered bank. The recent collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in the US have intensified concerns about the banking sector, leading to fears of a global crisis.


Nonetheless, Swiss regulators have stated that there are no signs of a direct risk of contagion for Swiss financial institutions and that they are prepared to assist Credit Suisse if needed, given the bank's status as a systemically important institution.


Where is Credit Suisse headquarters?

Credit Suisse, which was established in Zurich, Switzerland in 1856, is the country's second-largest bank, trailing behind UBS Group AG. It has a significant presence in international financial markets, with operations spanning Europe and Asia, as well as a sizable U.S. business. With a global reach that extends to around 50 countries, Credit Suisse employs over 45,000 people from diverse backgrounds, representing more than 150 nations.


Is Credit Suisse a tier 1 bank?

The bank's main source of funding is Tier 1 capital, which is composed of retained earnings and shareholders' equity. Among investment banks, JPMorgan Chase could be the only one classified as a Tier 1 bank due to its global ranking as a leader in most product areas.


On the other hand, Tier 2 capital includes various components such as revaluation reserves, general loan-loss reserves, subordinated term debt, hybrid capital instruments, and undisclosed reserves. Investment banks falling under Tier 2 would include Goldman Sachs, Barclays Capital, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, and Citigroup.


Meanwhile, UBS, BNP Paribas, and SocGen would be examples of Tier 3 banks.


Who is Credit Suisse Chairman?

On January 17, 2022, Credit Suisse Group disclosed that Axel P. Lehmann has been named as the bank's new Chairman with immediate effect, succeeding António Horta-Osório, who stepped down after a Board-commissioned inquiry. Axel Lehmann will lead the Board and Executive Board in carrying out Credit Suisse's strategy, which includes advancing the bank's transformation.


Who owns Credit Suisse?


What is Credit Suisse gold?


image of Credit Suisse Gold Bar
Credit Suisse Gold Bar


How to check Credit Suisse serial number?

For security, coding, and traceability reasons, each gold bar, regardless of its size or shape, is legally required to be marked and serialized before it can be made available for sale.


Credit Suisse gold bars feature the Credit Suisse logo at the top of each bar, with the weight, fineness, and serial number located beneath. Larger Credit Suisse bars, such as the 10-ounce gold bar, are accompanied by a separate certificate that verifies the bar's serial number.


Credit Suisse bullion is available in the form of bars and ingots that range in size from 1 gram up to a troy kilo (32.13 oz / 2.2lbs) and with purities varying from .


According to Jefferies, Credit Suisse holds greater significance for India's financial system than SVB.

Jefferies suggests that Credit Suisse Group AG holds greater significance for India's financial system than Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). According to the note, the fate of the European lender is more crucial to the Indian banking sector than the collapse of SVB.


As Credit Suisse is relevant to India's banking sector, Jefferies expects that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will monitor liquidity issues and counter-party exposures more closely and intervene as necessary. The note also indicates that institutional deposits may shift towards larger or higher-quality banks.


Foreign banks have a relatively smaller presence in India, with 6% share in total assets, 4% in loans, and 5% in deposits. However, they have a more substantial share in the derivative markets (forex and interest rates), with 50% share.


The top 5 foreign banks in India by assets are HSBC, Citibank, Standard Chartered, Deutsche Bank, and JP Morgan. Jefferies analysts stated that they would keep an eye out for liquidity issues and any impact on counter-party risk assessment, especially in derivatives, and deposit market movement towards larger or higher-quality banks.


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